Wednesday, 30 April 2014

Twitter sinks as user growth underwhelm

Investors are starting to lose patience with Twitter.

Shares sank 12% in premarket trading Wednesday, one day after the social media firm posted uninspiring first-quarter results.
Twitter's active-user base is still growing, hitting 255 million as of last month. But that was only a 6% increase from the previous quarter -- not the breakneck pace that investors have come to expect from young social media companies.
Related: Weibo shares pop 19% in IPO
Twitter (TWTR) booked $250 million in sales for the first quarter, but it still wasn't profitable, losing $132 million. Both revenue and Twitter's quarterly loss managed to beat Wall Street analysts' forecasts.
But Twitter's outlook wasn't much to be excited about: The company expects sales to rise only modestly to between $270 million and $280 million in the current quarter. That's in line with analysts' expectations, but investors were clearly hoping for more.
Twitter has been one of the biggest losers in this year's downturn for tech stocks, falling over 30% since the start of 2014. It is the second-worst performer in CNNMoney's Tech 30 index.
The stock surged over 70% on during its debut on the New York Stock exchange in November to $44.90, but was down to $43.03 as of Tuesday's close. To top of page

Source:

Tuesday, 29 April 2014

Cleveland Evans: Will you watch Warren this weekend?

Will you watch Warren this weekend?
The Berkshire Hathaway Annual meeting, featuring Omaha’s most famous billionaire, Warren Buffett, convenes Saturday at the Century Link Center.
Warren’s an English surname with two origins. Most Warren families had ancestors who came from La Varenne in Normandy. The place name is Gaulish for “sandy soil.”
Other Warren families (along with Warings and Guerins) had ancestors named Warin or Garin, Norman versions of a Germanic word meaning “guard.”
Warren became a first name in the 1700s. In the United States, this was largely in honor of Joseph Warren (1741-1775), a Boston physician who became president of Massachusetts’ Provincial Congress after the colony declared independence in 1774. At the Battle of Bunker Hill in 1775, Warren, a major general, insisted on fighting in the front lines. He was killed, and British soldiers hacked his body beyond recognition.
Warren’s death inspired America’s revolutionary soldiers. Fourteen states (including Iowa and Missouri) have a Warren County named for him.
American parents also named thousands of sons after Warren. In the 1850 census, the first to list all residents by name, 12,997 Americans had Warren as a first name. In Britain in 1851, there were only 314, though the countries had about the same population.
One of Warren’s many namesakes was Warren Gamaliel Bancroft, born in New York in 1835. He later became a respected Methodist minister in Ohio and Wisconsin.
Bancroft and his wife, Sarah, had only daughters. Perhaps that was partly why Sarah’s nephew, G. Tryon Harding of Blooming Grove, Ohio, named his first son Warren Gamaliel Harding in 1865.
In 1880, Warren ranked 89th and slowly declined from there until in 1906 it bottomed out at 144.
It was 108th in 1914, the year Warren Harding was elected to the United States Senate from Ohio, becoming a national leader of the Republican Party.
When Harding was elected president in 1920, the name exploded, with 7,798 babies named Warren in 1921, ranking it 24th.
When Warren Buffett was born in Omaha in 1930, he was one of 2,008 Warrens arriving that year.
The name continued to slowly fall until 1961, when it was bumped up by Warren Beatty’s Golden Globe-nominated performance in “Splendor in the Grass.” Though its decline resumed in 1964, Beatty’s fame helped keep Warren among the top 200 until 1972.
Warren bottomed out in 2005 at 551st place, when 434 were born. By 2012, it inched up with 574 newborn Warrens, ranking it 473rd.
Buffett’s well-publicized friendship with Bill Gates, unorthodox views on taxing the rich, and superstar financial guru fame combine to make him one of the most popular 83-year-olds with younger Americans. Perhaps some of those new little Warrens are also being named after the Betty White of billionaires.

Source:

Toyota move consolidates divisions in Plano

The announcement Monday confirmed a weeklong rumor that Toyota’s U.S. sales and marketing operations would leave Torrance, Calif., for a new campus-style facility in Plano.
The Japanese automaker added to that, however, with news that its engineering and manufacturing division in Erlanger, Ky., will also move to Plano.
The employees — many of them longtime, well-paid workers — will begin arriving this year and come in waves through 2017.
“With our major North American business affiliates and leaders together in one location for the first time, we will be better equipped to speed decision-making, share best practices and leverage the combined strength of our employees,” Jim Lentz, CEO of Toyota North America, said in a statement.
The move will affect 2,000 employees at Toyota Motor Sales in Torrance, 1,000 at Toyota Motor Engineering & Manufacturing in Erlanger and 1,000 at Toyota Financial Services in Torrance, the automaker said, plus employees from Toyota’s New York office.
One incentive for Toyota — besides consolidating in an Apple-style campus in Legacy business park — was a $40 million cash incentive from the Texas Enterprise Fund.
The company will break ground for its facility this fall and expects to complete it in two years.
Although Toyota did not specify the cost of the project, Gov. Rick Perry said the automaker will make a $300 million capital investment in the project.
Perry, who earlier went to California to tout the state’s pro-business environment, noted in his announcement of the move Monday that Texas “can help businesses of any size succeed and thrive.”
Toyota already has a pickup truck plant in San Antonio that employs 2,900 people.
“We’re proud that both the Tundra and Tacoma [pickups] bear the words ‘Made in Texas,’ and we’re excited our state will be the nexus for Toyota’s North American operations moving forward,” Perry said.
Mike Rosa of the Dallas Regional Chamber said in a statement that business executives such as oilman Ray Hunt and Sean Donahue, chief executive of Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport, worked for months on the effort, even though they were unaware of the company’s identity.
The move will have a huge impact on area housing as well as retail, restaurants and service businesses.
But it will also pump up sales at Toyota dealerships throughout North Texas, said Pat Lobb, owner of Pat Lobb Toyota in McKinney and one of the area’s largest auto retailers.
“We’re doing the happy dance over here,” Lobb said. “You’ve got thousands of people and their families moving here, most of them presumably driving Toyotas. There will be a tremendous market-share gain with this.”
Somehow, analysts said, Toyota managed to keep the move quiet until just a few days ago.
It was disclosed to a small group of Toyota executives on Friday and to all employees on Monday, stunning many of them.
California base
Toyota started its U.S. operations in California in 1957 and has long seemed an integral part of the state.
But while the automaker is still highly profitable, it needs to cut costs, analysts said, and California is a tough place to economize.
Toyota’s U.S. sales fell 1.6 percent in the first quarter. And while it sold almost 2.24 million vehicles last year, that was down more than 14 percent from the company’s U.S. peak in 2007.
Jack Nerad, a senior analyst at Kelley Blue Book in Irvine, Calif., said the move has to make great economic sense to Toyota, a “very conservative” company.
But it has the potential to be disruptive, particularly if large numbers of employees refuse to leave California.
When Nissan left California for new quarters in Tennessee in 2006, only 42 percent of its employees agreed to move.
Some Toyota employees might have the option to stay since Mazda, Honda, Hyundai and Kia all have significant operations in Southern California.
“There is a real potential disruption and brain drain,” Nerad said. “A lot of people at Toyota are considering their options, as opposed to doing real work right now. There’s a real or perceived culture change between Torrance and Plano, and people will have to decide whether they go or stay.”
Toyota will offer full-time employees and their spouses an expense-paid visit to Plano as well as a lump-sum payment if they choose to relocate, according to Automotive News.
Texas’ attractions
Texas landed Toyota because it has no state income tax, lower housing costs, a strong pro-business stance and solid quality-of-life ratings, analysts said.
The cost of living in Plano, for example, is 31 percent lower than in the Los Angeles-Long Beach area, which includes Torrance.
At a news conference Monday, Plano Mayor Harry LaRosiliere hailed Toyota’s move as a “great day for the state of Texas, a terrific day for Collin County and the Dallas-Fort Worth region, but a fantastic day for the city of Plano.”
LaRosiliere said Perry, Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, House Speaker Joe Straus and the Dallas Regional Chamber “brought this project to fruition.” Plano officials became involved in the discussions three months ago.
While the Texas Enterprise Fund offered Toyota $40 million, the mayor declined to discuss the incentives Plano is offering until May 12, when the City Council is to vote on the package.
Over 10 years, the project will generate more than $70 million in property tax revenue and more than $70 million in sales tax revenue, LaRosiliere said.
Jesse Toprak, chief analyst at Cars.com, said he thinks cost-cutting might have been secondary in Toyota’s decision to move, “though I doubt anyone at Toyota would admit it.”
The automaker sells well on the West and East coasts but is not as strong in the middle of the U.S.
“Nothing is more American than Texas, and Toyota wants to establish itself as a heartland company, particularly since it’s already conquered both coasts,” Toprak said. “I think there were some strategic considerations here.”
The move also puts Toyota closer to most of its manufacturing plants, analysts said.
The company has factories in Tupelo, Miss.; Georgetown, Ky.; San Antonio; Princeton, Ind.; Huntsville, Ala.; and Buffalo, W.Va.
The relocation will not affect Gulf States Toyota in Houston, which has been the Southwest regional distributor of new Toyota vehicles since 1969 .
Gulf States is responsible for taking dealer orders for vehicles, getting them filled and delivering the vehicles.
“We’re excited about their coming to one of the biggest states we serve,” said Marty Collins, president and general manager of Gulf States. “Dealers are just overwhelmed with the prospect of Toyota coming into the area, and it gives us an enormous footprint in the Dallas-Fort Worth area.”
Staff writer Wendy Hundley contributed to this report.

Source:'

U.S. pending home sales rise in March; first gain in nine months

A pending sale in Miami. (Joe Raedle / Getty Images / April 29, 2013)
Pending home sales rose in March, as the national housing market showed signs of life at the start of the spring buying season.

The 3.4% jump from February marked the first increase in nine months, the National Assn. of Realtors said Monday. The trade group’s pending-sales index covers contracts signed but not closed.

Lawrence Yun, the group’s chief economist, said a gain was to be expected after severe weather across much of the nation depressed sales in past months.

“Sales activity is expected to steadily pick up as more inventory reaches the market, and from ongoing job creation in the economy,” he said in a statement.

Pending sales, which are adjusted for seasonal swings, rose from February in all regions except the Midwest. In the West, pending sales climbed 5.7% last month.

Though buyers signed more contracts last month than February, pending sales were down 7.9% compared with March 2013. The year-over-year decline indicates that would-be buyers are still struggling with prices and mortgage rates that are higher than a year earlier.

Contracts for previously owned homes usually close in one to two months, when they show up in the Realtors group's existing-home sales report.

Citing the slow sales figures so far this year, the Realtors group said existing-home sales are likely to come in below last year’s figure of 5.1 


Source:

Monday, 28 April 2014

Some Economists See Bank of Japan Holding Fire All Year

Most economists have for some time expected the Bank of Japan to implement further monetary easing this year, so much so that the central bank governor’s comments this month that such a move wouldn’t come anytime soon helped send stocks sharply lower and the yen higher. But some opinions are shifting–toward no action at all. [...]


Most economists have for some time expected the Bank of Japan to implement further monetary easing this year, so much so that the central bank governor’s comments this month that such a move wouldn’t come anytime soon helped send stocks sharply lower and the yen higher. But some opinions are shifting–toward no action at all.
A few days after his initial comments, BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda met with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, and afterward said he had reassured Mr. Abe that the central bank would take the necessary steps to meet its target of achieving 2% inflation by next spring.
The majority of 11 economists surveyed last week by The Wall Street Journal said they expected the central bank to take further action later this year. None said they expect it to do so at its one-day policy board meeting Wednesday. One expects action in the current quarter, five in the third quarter and one in the last quarter.
Still, four of the 11 said they expected the BOJ to refrain from any further easing this year. That’s up from only one who took that position during January’s survey, although not all of the same economists were surveyed.
Mari Iwashita, senior market economist at SMBC Friend Securities, had previously anticipated further easing in July at the earliest–if the sales tax increase that took effect April 1 had hit consumption hard.
But the effects of the tax increase haven’t exceeded expectations, and the BOJ won’t deem further easing necessary, she said.
“Even if the inflation number doesn’t hit 2% soon, as long as it stays above 1% it would be enough for the BOJ to maintain its current pace of asset purchases,” while retaining the option of further easing in the event of a sharp downturn in the global economy, she said.
Yuichi Kodama, chief economist at Meiji Yasuda Life Insurance, had previously expected the BOJ to take preemptive action to support the economy in March, before the sales tax rose. But now conditions don’t warrant further expansion of its bond-buying, he said, and the central bank will hold steady through the end of the year.
Of course, not everyone sees it that way. Takehiro Noguchi, senior economist at Mizuho Securities, said the BOJ will need to take action in the third quarter to offset the impact of the tax hike and give Mr. Abe the option of allowing the sales tax to rise further to 10%.
Mr. Abe has said a decision on the tax rate will be made by the end of the year, after examining economic data from the third quarter.
All 11 economists said they expect the central bank to stick to its bullish view of inflation in its semi-annual outlook, to be published after the meeting. The median estimate of the BOJ’s forecast for the full current fiscal year was 1.3%, rising to 1.9% for the next year.
The four economists who expected no easing this year predicted full-year inflation of 0.9% to 1.2% for this year.
Source:

Siemens's New Alstom Bid Disrupts GE Deal

'GE and Alstom have their agenda, which is that of shareholders...', said Economy Minister Arnaud Montebourg. 


PARIS— Siemens AG SIE.XE -1.56% of Germany barged in on Alstom SAALO.FR +10.93% 's plans to sell its energy assets to General Electric Co. GE +0.53%Sunday, proposing a counteroffer that would forge a global behemoth while keeping a symbol of French industry firmly rooted in Europe.
Helping Siemens crash the party was France's sharp-elbowed economy minister, Arnaud Montebourg, who cleared a path for the German firm by reminding Alstom Chairman and Chief Executive Patrick Kron that no major deal in France Inc. happens without his input.
On Thursday, Mr. Kron had just landed in Paris after a flight from the U.S.—where he was closing in on a deal to cede Alstom's huge energy operations to GE for more than $12 billion—when he got an urgent message.
Mr. Montebourg ordered the 60-year-old executive to come to the ministry immediately to explain why Alstom was negotiating without his knowledge.
Reuters
Since taking office in 2012, Mr. Montebourg has wielded his influence to cajole, prod and, if necessary, bend the will of some of the world's biggest companies and business leaders. His status shows that the government of Socialist President François Hollande considers itself a custodian of France's economic nationalism. Despite Mr. Hollande's efforts to revive France's anemic economy with proposed tax cuts and other business-friendly measures, a wing of his government remains firmly entrenched in the dirigisme, or government control of the economy, that defined post-World War II France.
"GE and Alstom have their agenda, which is that of shareholders, but the French government has its own, which is that of economic sovereignty," Mr. Montebourg said Sunday.
Not only does Alstom employ 93,000, it supplies crucial equipment to France's nuclear reactors and makes the country's signature bullet trains, the TGVs. That helps explain why Paris bailed it out when it ran into financial trouble a decade ago.
At the heart of Mr. Montebourg's interventionism lies a belief that government has a duty to meddle in the affairs of companies—even ones where the state has no ownership stake—when jobs hang in the balance.

Related

At a time when other countries are rolling out the red carpet to lure the most innovative companies to their shores, France is worried about fending off foreign suitors.
Some of the country's biggest firms—from advertising company Publicis SA to cement-maker Lafarge SA—are considering pairing up with foreign rivals as well as relocating their headquarters outside France.
Yahoo Inc.'s attempt to buy Dailymotion from former state monopoly France Telecom SA—providing the French Internet video site with a global launchpad—unraveled after Mr. Montebourg stormed the negotiations, chastising the U.S. tech giant's senior management.
"It sends a very bad signal. Foreign investors are discouraged." said Philippe Aghion, a professor of economics at Harvard University. "What's the point of Mr. Hollande going to the Silicon Valley to court them?"
Now GE is on a collision course with the main custodian of France's economic nationalism, Mr. Montebourg.
The minister's intervention has already upended GE's plans to close a deal with Alstom by Sunday. GE CEO Jeffrey Immelt, who is under pressure from investors to shift away from financial activities, backed out of plans to speak at a forum hosted by Sen. John McCain in Arizona Saturday so he could be in Paris Sunday and soothe tensions.
But Mr. Montebourg and Siemens were busy working on an alternative plan. Siemens said over the weekend that it was ready to buy Alstom's energy assets—the same ones that GE covets—but added a number of sweeteners that reflected Mr. Montebourg's demands for preserving jobs and decision-making centers in France.
In a proposal that valued Alstom's energy business at up to $15 billion, Siemens offered to locate the global headquarters of key power-generating operations in France. It also said sensitive technology—Alstom makes software used to run nuclear plants—could remain in French hands, while a significant portion of its rail-transport business could be handed over to Alstom.
Alstom's fate riveted France. A banner headline on Le Journal du Dimanche read: "A national psycho-drama." Late Sunday, Alstom said it was reflecting on strategy and would make an announcement by Wednesday.
GE is still firmly in the running. The company's French operations, which employ 11,000 people, have less overlap with Alstom than a potential tie-up with Siemens, meaning fewer jobs would be at risk.
People close to GE say the U.S. firm is also prepared to locate some decision-making powers in France. Mr. Montebourg may meet GE and Siemens executives on Monday to discuss Alstom's future, his office said.
The fact that Mr. Hollande has entrusted Mr. Montebourg to lead the counteroffensive is a measure of the president's political vulnerability. The economy minister ran against Mr. Hollande in the 2011 Socialist primaries. Though he lost, Mr. Montebourg managed to galvanize a strong following in the Socialist Party's far-left wing.
"Multinational companies no longer serve the economy. They serve themselves," Mr. Montebourg wrote in "Vote for De-globalization!," a book he brandished on the campaign trail.
Mr. Montebourg's popularity compelled Mr. Hollande to reward him in 2012 with the influential post of industry minister. The newly elected president even tweaked the minister's new job title to Mr. Montebourg's liking, naming him the "Minister of Productive Resurrection."
Once in office, Mr. Montebourg began to rail against the strong euro, which he said was hobbling French exports. That raised eyebrows in Brussels, but it also kept the Socialist faithful fired up.
Mr. Montebourg "covers a part of the political spectrum, which is useful," said a senior aide to Mr. Hollande.
Some of the minister's interventions have paid off. When mining giant Rio Tinto sought to close an aluminum smelter in the French Alps, Mr. Montebourg persuaded a German aluminum firm, Trimet, to team up with state-run utility Electricite de France SA to buy the asset and continue production, saving thousands of jobs in the area.
In early March, Mr. Montebourg cleared his schedule to convene a crisis meeting with managers of Les Atelières, a small lingerie factory, helping save the firm and its 31 jobs. "He goes to the max," said Nicole Mendez, one of the Les Atelières workers who dealt with him. "But of course, he doesn't hold all the cards."
The Alstom case will be a litmus test. Early this year, Alstom quietly began talking to GE when it became clear it lacked the financial muscle to navigate through a prolonged dearth of orders in recession-plagued Europe. Throughout the talks, Mr. Kron, the CEO, kept France's government in the dark.
Back in Paris, Mr. Kron was subjected to a "tense and frank" discussion with Mr. Montebourg, according to a person with knowledge of the meeting. Alstom declined to comment.
GE's Mr. Immelt had planned to meet Sunday with Mr. Montebourg to try to calm tensions with the fiery minister.
But the minister slammed on the brakes. In a letter to Mr. Immelt reviewed by The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Montebourg postponed the meeting and warned Mr. Immelt that the French government had the power to "impose conditions" on the proposed deal with Alstom and, if necessary, to "deny it."
Mr. Montebourg also lectured the American executive on the finer points of French law, which requires the government to sign off on the sale of assets the French state has defined as strategic. "We do not believe that creating a fait accompli," Mr. Montebourg wrote, "would be a wise course of action."
—Andrea Thomas, Inti Landauro and Géraldine Amiel contributed to this article.
Write to Stacy Meichtry at stacy.meichtry@wsj.com and David Gauthier-Villars at David.Gauthier-Villars@wsj.com


Source:
online.wsj.com

Sunday, 27 April 2014

A Few California Cities Start Water-Waste Patrols

Steve Upton thinks of himself more as an "Officer Friendly" than a water cop.
On a recent sunny day, the water waste inspector rolled through a quiet Sacramento neighborhood in his white pickup truck after a tipster tattled on people watering their lawns on prohibited days.
He approached two culprits. Rather than slapping them with fines, Upton offered to change the settings on their sprinkler systems.
"I don't want to crack down on them and be their Big Brother," said Upton, who works for the water conservation unit of Sacramento's utilities department. "People don't waste water on purpose. They don't know they are wasting water."
At least 45 water agencies throughout California, including Sacramento, are imposing and enforcing mandatory restrictions on water use as their supplies run dangerously low. Sacramento is one of the few bigger agencies actively patrolling streets for violators and encouraging neighbors to report waste.
They teach residents to avoid hosing down driveways, overwatering lawns or filling swimming pools. While gentle reminders are preferred, citations and fines can follow for repeat offenders.
"We do have the stick if people don't get it," said Kim Loeb, natural resource conservation manager in Visalia, a city of 120,000 people that has hired a part-time worker for night patrols and reduced the number of warnings from two to one before issuing $100 fines.
Mandatory restrictions aren't as widespread as in previous droughts, even among the drier parts of Southern California. One reason is more cities are conserving and making it expensive for residents to guzzle water.
Sacramento, where about half the homes are unmetered, is deploying the state's most aggressive water patrols to compensate. In February, the city of 475,000 deputized 40 employees who drive regularly for their jobs, such as building inspectors and meter readers, to report and respond to water waste. Of them, six are on water patrol full-time.
Providing a boost to their efforts is a campaign asking residents to report neighbors and local businesses breaking the rules. In the first three months of this year, Sacramento has received 3,245 water waste complaints, compared to 183 in the same period last year.
"There are tons of eyes out there watching everywhere," said Upton, looking at a computerized map of suspected offenders throughout the city.
Lina Barber was among those warned by Upton about watering on the wrong day, but she said she's still drought conscious. She's already waiting for full loads to wash clothes and dishes and just needed a simple reminder, a courtesy she'd extend without dragging in the water cops.
"I'm just going to talk to my neighbors," Barber said. "I know them well enough to say they are trying to enforce the water rules."
Sacramento's suburban neighbor to the east, Roseville, also is deploying an aggressive water-patrol program.
Despite steady rain and snow in February and part of March, the state's water supply and mountain snowpack remain perilously low, meaning there will be far less water to release to farms and cities in the months ahead.
More consistently water-conscious communities have found they don't need to spend as much time or money on enforcement.
Source:

Siemens offers cash, trains swap for Alstom power: report

(Reuters) - German engineering group Siemens (SIEGn.DE) is offering Alstom (ALSO.PA) half of its train-making business plus cash in exchange for its French rival's power turbines division, Le Figaro newspaper reported on Sunday.
Le Figaro said it had seen the contents of a letter - the existence of which was announced by Siemens earlier on Sunday - in which the German company offered a potential alternative to the deal U.S. company General Electric (GE.N) was preparing to negotiate with Alstom.
The Siemens deal outlined by Le Figaro has similarities to past plans to combine the businesses. The paper said the offer was informal, but detailed, and included a proposal for Alstom - maker of TGV high-speed trains - to take on Siemens' high-speed trains and locomotives arm, but not its metropolitan trains division. Le Figaro gave no details of the cash part of the deal.
Earlier on Sunday, Siemens said its letter was a signal of its "willingness to discuss future strategic opportunities" with Alstom - only hours before GE boss Jeff Immelt was due in Paris to thrash out a deal to buy Alstom's global power arm.
A spokeswoman for Economy Minister Arnaud Montebourg subsequently said Immelt's meeting had been postponed "for a few days."
The French government wants to find alternatives to the GE offer, which sources said puts a value of $13 billion on the turbines and power grid equipment business and could be announced in days.
Montebourg said in Sunday the GE deal was "a purchase of the energy part of Alstom" while the Siemens deal was a deal to "create two European champions in the energy and transport domains," but added he "will not accept" any hasty decision.
Siemens declined to comment on the report. Alstom has declined to comment on the Siemens announcement and a spokeswoman could not confirm the details in the report.

(Reporting by Andrew Callus in Paris and Maria Sheahan in Frankfurt; Editing by Sophie Walker)

Source:

Ben Sasse's health plan taken for checkup

As you've probably heard, the four candidates for the Republican nomination for the U.S. Senate in Nebraska agree that the Affordable Care Act of 2010 should be repealed. 

All four — Midland University President Ben Sasse, former State Treasurer Shane Osborn, Pinnacle Bank Chairman Sid Dinsdale and Omaha attorney Bart McLeay — have criticized the health care law. 

But Sasse has published the most detailed alternative plan, made it the centerpiece of his campaign and gotten national attention for his views on health care. 

Both the Affordable Care Act and proposals like Sasse's, including those by other Republicans, aim at providing access to care and controlling its cost. But they follow different paths. 

Instead of requiring everyone to be insured and requiring insurance companies to sell policies to almost anyone, Sasse wants people to voluntarily decide their level of coverage and rely more on their own money they put aside in health savings accounts. He wants states to craft their own programs to take care of those who can't. 

His proposals are raising concerns. 

“I think this is going to take it two steps backward in terms of denying care,” said Dr. Kevin Nohner of Omaha, president of the Nebraska Medical Association, who was asked by The World-Herald to review Sasse's plan. “I'd rather that we move inches forward and build on it, and work collegially to make it better.” 

George Rejda, a business professor emeritus at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln who studies insurance benefits, said: “My gut feeling would be that if this plan were enacted, the situation in health care would worsen compared to what we had before and what we have right now.” 

Jennifer Beeson, deputy director of the Washington, D.C., consumer group Families USA, which generally favors the Affordable Care Act, declined to discuss Sasse's proposal specifically but commented on some of the ideas that Sasse and others have proposed. 

Sasse thinks it would be possible to repeal Obamacare if conservatives do well in the next two congressional elections and a Republican wins the presidency in 2016.

So what would Sasse’s replacement health care system look like?


Voluntary insurance
Sasse proposes: People would decide whether to buy insurance and what benefits they want. Insurers would decide what benefits to offer, who can buy policies and at what prices.
How it works now: Obamacare requires almost everyone to buy a policy with a list of “essential benefits,” including free preventive care, with subsidies to reduce out-of-pocket spending. Children are allowed to stay on their parents’ policy until age 26. Insurers are required to accept all applicants and consider only age, smoking status and family size — not past medical history, gender or other factors — in setting rates.
The change: Consumers could decide not to buy insurance or could choose full or limited coverage; subsidies would end. Insurers could deny coverage because of pre-existing medical conditions and charge different rates for men and women and for other reasons. Obtaining free preventive care and keeping children on family policies until age 26 would depend on the policy purchased.
What Sasse says: Competition among companies in private marketplaces and at work would give consumers alternatives and help slow cost increases. Not paying for unwanted benefits, such as having everyone pay for maternity coverage, would reduce premiums.
“If consumers want a plan that manages every aspect of their care, they can continue to select those kind of policies,” but that shouldn’t be mandated.
What others say:
Rejda: Requiring people to buy coverage and requiring insurers to accept all applicants go hand in hand in making the system work, and dropping either or both would reduce access to health care. Obamacare’s required “essential benefits” will reduce costs in the long run by encouraging early treatment and avoiding more serious problems.
Beeson: Without guaranteed coverage, “people were left out in the cold in the individual market, denied coverage for even minor conditions.” The Affordable Care Act “opened the doors for a lot of people to being able to buy the coverage they were denied for a long time.”
Nohner: Without free preventive care, patients put off health care and don’t take medicine because of the expense, and big medical bills bankrupt them.
Reliance on health savings accounts
Sasse proposes: Many people would use health savings accounts to supplement lower-premium catastrophic coverage. Premiums for nongroup individual insurance could be deducted from income taxes, and insurers’ role as middleman would be reduced, freeing consumers to negotiate and providers to innovate. Policies would be portable so people could keep them if they moved or changed jobs.
How it works now: Insurers offer high-deductible plans paired with health savings accounts, which offer tax advantages. Employers can deduct their spending on health care benefits, but people on individual policies can’t deduct premiums. People can buy insurance in Affordable Care Act marketplaces if they lose group insurance. People can take their savings accounts with them when they change jobs.
Insurance companies negotiate volume discounts with health care providers, as well as handle payments and claims. The “middleman” administrative fees — up to 15 percent of premium revenue under the Affordable Care Act but not limited in Sasse’s plan — pay the salaries of 485,000 U.S. health insurance workers.
The change: The law would encourage the catastrophic coverage/health savings account system. The tax deduction would lower costs to consumers. Consumers themselves would negotiate prices with providers.
What Sasse says: More direct-to-consumer arrangements with medical providers would trim costs. “If air travel were like health care, customers would have to log onto the FAA’s website to be approved for their trip, see which airlines were ‘covered’ and pay the same price no matter which flight they take.”
Automobile owners pay for routine costs such as oil changes but carry insurance to pay for major damage. “With health care, we somehow decided to insure against contact lens purchases, even though you can predict that,” leading to greater spending on health care.
What others say:
Beeson: Health savings accounts already are available, but many people can’t save enough to cover their health expenses. Many employers don’t contribute to the accounts.
A study this year by Fidelity Investments found that people underestimate how much they need to save for health care. While the average couple retiring today are projected to need about $220,000 to pay for out-of-pocket health care costs, about half the people Fidelity surveyed estimated the need at $50,000 per person.
The future of Medicare
Sasse proposes: Medicare rules would be changed to increase revenue, cut expenses and switch to defined contributions so it would remain viable for future generations.
How it works now: Medicare stands to go into the red as the elderly population increases, and high-income people receive the same benefits as middle-class people. Private insurers generally can’t compete with Medicare.
The change: Raise the minimum Medicare age by two months per year, charge higher-income people more for Medicare benefits, allow private insurers to compete with Medicare, and transition to a defined-contribution system with benefits determined by the amounts put into individual accounts.
What Sasse says: Medicare “is in crisis because it operates like a Ponzi scheme. ... Medicare beneficiaries receive $3 in benefits for every dollar they have paid into the system.” Senior citizens shouldn’t face a future of uncertainty, he said, and the next generation deserves a government “making honest, sustainable promises.”
What others say:
Beeson: So far there is no “politically viable way” to make changes like charging wealthier people more. “It’s been difficult to find common ground on any health care policy.”
Rejda: A Kaiser Family Foundation study indicates that raising the Medicare age doesn’t save the program money. At higher ages, people older than 65 and their employers would pay higher costs before they retire and, when they switch to Medicare, average costs would go up because they are older.
Care of sick and poor
Sasse proposes: States would run high-risk insurance pools for people denied coverage and manage Medicaid programs, with no-strings federal money, for people who can’t afford insurance.
How it works now: States are eliminating high-risk pools because insurers must accept all applicants under the Affordable Care Act. The federal government has an open-ended commitment to help states cover Medicaid costs; in return, it requires states to cover certain groups of people and to provide specific benefits.
The change: States would be responsible for their Medicaid programs, rather than following federal guidelines, and would receive the funding through block grants, which may be capped.
What Sasse says: “We need a social safety net ... but not one where Washington writes all these rules. States have shown a far greater ability to solve problems and live within their means than Washington ever has.” States should receive federal funding in the form of block grants, which eventually would evolve into even more streamlined grants.
Advocates exaggerate the number of people who are denied coverage or who must pay unaffordable rates because of their past medical conditions. Most uninsured people either don’t want coverage or lost their insurance for six months or less while changing jobs.
If people could buy portable products they wanted at affordable prices “we’d have far less uninsurance than we have under Obamacare.”
What others say:
Kaiser Family Foundation reports that a study pointed out that lump-sum payments from the federal government risk not keeping up with growing Medicaid costs or patient loads. Federal payments now cover an average of 60 percent of Medicaid costs, depending on how many people are eligible under federal guidelines. Who’s eligible also would end up varying by state.
Beeson: The federal government adds more money during an economic downturn, when more people need assistance. Proposals that would cap federal money would mean “people end up not getting the coverage they need.”
Nohner: The Nebraska Legislature discussed expanding Medicaid coverage but didn’t override Gov. Dave Heineman’s veto. “I don’t see where there’s the will in the state of Nebraska to empower us to take care of those people.”
Insurance sales across state lines
Sasse proposes: States should continue regulating health insurers, but people could buy policies from any company in the nation.
How it works now: States regulate insurance companies and approve them to sell policies only in each state. Residents of a state generally can buy only from insurers approved in that state. The state regulators are charged with protecting consumers and keeping insurers’ rates fair and their finances sound.
The change: People could shop nationwide for coverage. Nationwide insurers could market products broadly while subject only to the regulations of their home states.
What Sasse says: “Enabling the purchase of coverage across state lines will promote competition and innovative product design,” and “dismantle the corporate insurance monopoly in health care delivery.” Insurers could offer policies without state-required coverage mandates. Private exchanges would give consumers a range of choices.
What others say:
Beeson: Nationwide selling “guarantees that the state with the fewest consumer protections becomes the national norm. It’s a race to the bottom.” A company from a state that allows poor-quality insurance could charge low rates and undercut companies from states that require terms that protect consumers, she said. “That destabilizes the risk pool and could exclude people who are sick.”


State insurance commissioners would lack authority to protect consumers and deal with complaints about companies from other states.

Source: